For fe and others who may wish to use the method: some further explanation re- the two screen (and three in controls) and inked pellet method of data resolution.
This is a very old method.
The pellet is marked such that as it passes through appropriate paper/light cardboard screens, it leaves a mark on the edge of the holes in both (or three) screens #1 and #2. The sheets have to be squared to each other..
As can be seen on the 200 yd test sheets, squared-up crosses are drawn for reference. Lines are then drawn across each pellet hole to dissect the hole, through the ink marks, using the ink marks for reference. On a 360d scale, the lines are given a degree rating. The difference in that rating between the front and rear screens is the indication of the degree of rotation the pellet undertook in the intervening gap between the screens. Then using the distance between the screens the rotation is resolved into the distance that one full 360d rotation would have undertaken.
The further apart the screens are the less the possible subjective errors in the assessment process. Thus in the pilot studies it is essential to choose an appropriate screen spacing. It is possible to put them so close together that less than one rotation is recorded; say 12 or 15 inches apart for a barrel that has a 1:17" rating. Or a spacing can be chosen that allows for something between one and two full rotations (or other). ... A pilot study should be done using three screens to ensure capturing the relevant data and not under or over estimating the number of rotations. In this case the screen separation was a little more than the barrel twist rate to allow one+ full revolution at the closest (known muzzle) range. The assumption was that that spacing would capture the effective spin rate within two full revolutions.
Ultimately the care with which all is set up and measured will be reflected in the degree of accuracy of the results. ... Is that not always the case in any laboratory? ... So the figures you see are the best reflection of my efforts which were to establish the trend for spin rates per foot of travel over the selected ranges.
Each of the ranges tested had the same treatment and results collated. The muzzle velocities were chronographed to ensure only shots of similar mv were used. The rifle has an extremely tight mv spread shot to shot.
" If I understand it correctly, the test showed that FPS decreases at a much higher rate than the RPM (spin rate) increases ..."
Yes. Spin rate defined as rotation per unit of travel. Actual radial velocity declines of course and is indicated in the text above.
In any extrapolation or interpolation regarding predictions based upon muzzle velocities in an attempt to make use of this information, that has also to be considered. ... This response classically shows how it is much more difficult to cover all the bases in a response/answer, than to ask a question.
..."could the shooter start at a lower MV using the same 200 yard range and try to establish a point between 0 and 200 yards where inaccuracy starts?" ... You are correct to assume from the 200 yd 3 shot group that with the pellet and rifle used accuracy was/is still excellent. On occasion 7 groups were shot with an average under 3" ; and the last 5 shot group at 300 yards was 7" with 4 shots under 4".
So in this case it might be assumed that 1:12.8" spin rate is still somewhat OK to 200 yards and these heavy high BC pellets have remained dynamically stable in the very good chosen conditions to 200 yards. Extreme range dynamic instability could be assumed to then occur at faster spin rates maybe 1:10 or whatever. To research that within 200 yards, using your model, would probably require muzzle spin rates that would begin at say 1:14" to overlap. That may require another barrel because the initial spin rate is equal to the barrel twist rate and apparently effectively climbs from there.
Lowering and raising the MV can certainly be reflected in lack of precision grouping at medium and longer range, Raising MV from a considered optimal MV can certainly indicate an MV that is too fast and that will induce spiral flight the nature of which is made worse be certain winds. I have done that test. A certain pellet I have will begin to show a % of spirals at 920 fps even in calm air (and lower MVs in wind); and increasing % at progressively higher MVs 'til at 980 fps all shots spiral. I presume there to be a link to the phenomenon under discussion. Other tests at progressively lower MVs, within reason and within stability criteria, have indicated initial velocities which produce stable flights regardless of conditions. So yes, this is all well worth playing with if one has the interest and time.
I will stop here as this is already too long for holding many readers interest and I don't wish to get far from what my study basically showed and into further conjecture and surmise. Hope you understand and that the first part was reasonably well explained. ... Best regards, Harry.